FBI Raid on Mar-a-Lago - The End Goal
Democrats need Trump to Run in 2024 and he relishes their help
According to the Wall Street Journal: “FBI agents searched former President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Fla., on Monday, which people familiar with the matter said was part of an investigation into Mr. Trump’s handling of classified information.”
Conservative politicians and media are, understandably, livid at this unprecedented and unnecessary attack on the leading figure of the opposition party, typical behavior of governments in Banana Republics. Leaks from unnamed government sources claim (later confirmed by Trump’s lawyer) that the search warrant is for classified materials that Trump took to Mar-a-Lago when he left office. This charge is preposterous because under Article II of the Constitution the President retains the right to declassify any document right up until the new President is inaugurated.
So why did the Biden Administration’s Attorney General Merrick Garland approve of the raid and why was it done at this time?
Some, like Redstate’s Bonchi, suggest this is a Democrat conspiracy to instigate a right-wing, rage-filled riot similar to 1/6/21, which would likely tip the 2022 election to Democrats. I don't think another riot is likely. I do think that Democrats have proven to be way more skillful and devious when it comes to dirty politics.
Critically important, midterm elections are less than 3 months away. The Biden Administration currently has zero oversight, as the Democrats control both the Senate and the House of Representatives. With Biden's terrible approval ratings, the US in recession with 8.5% official inflation (real inflation is higher), and the historic trend of the party in the White House losing congressional seats in midterm elections, it's widely predicted that the Democrats will lose control of the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer gave (part of) the game away on the Maddow show.
In a functioning democracy, we would all be able to see the search warrant and affidavits that were used to justify this unprecedented raid. However, and not surprisingly to those of us who have been paying attention to the corruption of the DOJ and the FBI which has been exposed since 2016, the search warrant has been sealed from public scrutiny by the low level judge chosen by the FBI to issue it.
Don't expect any clarity from Garland, who refuses to answer Senators’ questions about the role of FBI “informants” like Ray Epps in instigating the 1/6/21 riots, or Christopher Wray, head of the FBI, who is still refusing to answer questions from Senators about the FBI's role in the Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping hoax. In both cases these Democrat apparatchiks claim they can’t answer because of “ongoing investigation.”
The basis for the search warrant will likely be hidden until after the November elections. Republican candidates will have to make a choice: support Trump and the risk associated with the unknown allegations against him, or break with many voters in their party and possibly incentivize those conservative voters to stay home in November. Score: Democrats 1, Democracy 0.
Trump has been very happy to play along with the Democrat attack on his estate as it is galvanizing Republican support behind him. His lawyers have told numerous lies (later refracted) on FOX News such as they weren’t given the warrant or allowed to be present for the search. The lies were intended to sow greater outrage and support for his running in 2024.
Some Democrats are probably thinking even longer term. The 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections, along with this year's Federal Primaries, increasingly have demonstrated that the most important factor in the success of an election campaign is the opponent!
Democrats, despite public comments to the contrary, desperately need Trump to run again in 2024! He is the only top Republican that Biden, or more likely another Democrat, can defeat. Cackling Lady 2024 anyone?
In 2016, Trump narrowly won electorally in large part because Hillary Clinton had such incredibly high negative polling with voters. Hillary was at that point in time, the most unlikable presidential candidate ever. Similarly in 2020, it can be convincingly argued that Joe Biden, who had at the time a credible allegation of sexual assault, confirmed allegations of influence peddling and corruption via Hunter, and who was clearly demonstrating signs of dementia, could not possibly have won the election against any reasonable Republican opponent except Trump! Audits of the 2020 vote confirm this and show millions of split tickets, where voters chose Republican candidates for lower offices but not Trump for President. I personally know several conservatives who did just that.
In this year's Federal primaries, Democrats have outsmarted Republicans again and spent hundreds of millions of dollars to promote Republican primary candidates least likely to beat the Democrat candidate in the November elections. Polls (I know, I know) indicate this strategy is working in places like PA were a weak imitation of Bernie Sanders who spent most of his adult life mooching off his parents is way ahead of the Democrat’s 2nd favorite choice and Trump’s pick for the Senate from PA.
Will Democrats overcome their Trump Derangement Syndrome long enough to figure out that a Trump conviction for any “high crime or misdemeanor” wipes out their best chance to win in 2024? For our Democracy’s sake let’s hope not! Or if they do, that Republican voters and leaders don’t take the bait.